Thursday, June 22, 2017

Field Reports Welcome!

We welcome reports of sword fern die-off from anywhere in the Pacific Northwest.   No governmental organization or NGO is collecting reports, so I figure that an informal and ad hoc log kept here may prove useful.

I will catalog and map them as (and if) they come in.   Most helpful will be reports which include a photo, a location, and an estimate of dead fern count and density.    For example:  "12 dead ferns within a 20 x 20 foot area,  in  a second growth forest dominated by maple and cedar, near Suquamish Washington."  

Please add your report as a comment to this blog post, or send mail to me.   Thanks.

Tuesday, June 20, 2017

The Sword Fern Die-Off at Seward Park 
 (and a few other Puget Sound locations)
Paul Shannon, Friends of Seward Park
pshannon@systemsbiology.org
May 5th, 2017

Ecologist Tim Billo, UW teacher and part-time stay-at-home dad, noticed something strange three years ago on one of his frequent visits to the Magnificent Forest at Seattle’s Seward Park. This 100 acre forest, by a combination of good luck and good planning, has never been logged. It is home to 500 year-old trees and nesting eagles, to Douglas squirrels and pileated woodpeckers, to ravens and the occasional coyote. It is a tiny remnant of the million acres of ancient forest that covered the Puget Lowlands after the retreat of the glaciers 15,000 years ago. With his one-year-old daughter in a sturdy stroller, walking up the Hatchery Trail, Tim noticed that a hillside previously covered with waist-high sword ferns was now entirely bare. All the ferns were dead.

Tim's daughter is now four years old. The sword fern die-off Tim first noticed three ago has spread rapidly, now covering ten acres. By the time his daughter is in her teens, extrapolating from current rates of spread, very few ferns will be left in the 120 acres of rare and beautiful urban old growth forest.

Not only are the ferns dying: the new bare regions, emptied of ferns, are not regenerating. No new plants, neither weeds nor native species, have sprouted in the bare ground left by the dying ferns. So as the ferns die, the understory structure of the forest disappears, and the overall structure of the forest - its interwoven ecology - is compromised. Tim's daughter, by the time she is a young woman, may find that the Magnificent Forest at Seward Park is but a weak and reduced version of what, for centuries, it has been. We will lose an intricate and beautiful ancient plant and animal community, that rare wonderful thing, a wilderness in the city.

Tim joined with an ad hoc network of volunteers including amateur citizen naturalists, the Friends of Seward Park (including the author), UW ecologist Patrick Tobin, UW undergraduates, the staff of the WSU Puyallup Plant and Insect Diagnostic Laboratory, and plant ecologist Lisa Cieko from Seattle Parks. We scoured the reference literature, consulted fern experts, cultured and sequenced DNA from plant tissue and soil samples, measured soil nitrogen, monitored mountain beavers and insect activity. After three years and the death of hundreds of ferns, and in the presence of its continuing spread, no cause has been found, and no remedy is available.

In the last few months, we have learned of and followed up on reports of sword fern die-off from other parts of the Puget lowland. There is an earlier and still continuing dramatic die-off on the Kitsap Peninsula which began in 2010. There is a more recent and less extreme die-off on Mercer Island. From these three sites, and from observations of healthy sword fern stands in regional forests, we have identified these (conservative) criteria by which to recognize a sword fern die-off site:


  1.  at least 400 square feet in extent
  2.  approximately symmetrical in shape (a circle or a square)
  3.  understory previously dominated by sword ferns (few or no Oregon grape, salal or shrubs) 4) has 25-40 dead crowns approximately evenly distributed across the 400 sq ft area
  4.  very few (<5) or no surviving ferns.
  5.  the affected area grows larger with each passing year

We initially hoped to discover that the die-off was part of the natural cycle of the forest. Many ask, when encountering the barren ground at Seward Park, if Seattle's recent dry weather, perhaps the drought of 2013, played a role. Some shocked visitors ask "did someone spill toxic chemicals up there?".

None of the many hypotheses we have come up with, or that others have suggested, have withstood the scrutiny of our lab and field testing. The die-off remains a mystery. It appears to be spreading with increasing speed, both at Seward Park and now in a few isolated spots elsewhere in the region. We have reports of die-off from other areas, in the city and further afield, which either do, or do not quite yet, meet the six criteria listed above.

We have received help in our work from some expert fern biologists. Dr. Robbin Moran, Curator of Ferns & Lycophytes at the New York Botanical Garden, and Dr. David Barrington, Professor of Plant Biology, University of Vermont (and world expert on the genus Polystichum to which sword ferns belong) attest that this pattern of die-off is unique: they have never seen anything like this before. This view is echoed by Dr. Alan Smith, research botanist emeritus at the UC Berkeley Herbarium, and Dr. David Wagner of the Northwest Botanical Institute. (See discussion elsewhere on this blog.)

These four scientists also cautiously concur on a most surprising feature of sword fern biology - the discovery which has been one delightful high spot in our work, which is that individual sword ferns in old-growth forests live a long time. For centuries! Sword ferns colonize bare ground left after fire, glaciation, or logging. Once established, and once the forest canopy forms

above them, they rarely (possibly never) reproduce by spore and gametophyte. Vegetative reproduction by rhizome is very limited. Thus there are almost no new young ferns sprouting up in the midst of an old forest.

So when you see ferns beneath big trees at Seward Park, in lush stands, in the die-off area, or in areas where the ferns are now dying, the odds are good that each individual plant you see has been rooted at the spot for hundreds of years.

Urban forests are more fragile than those found in suburbs and rural areas, due to a combination of air pollution, relative isolation from seed and spore sources, overuse by people and dogs, and a higher risk of introduced pathogens. It is plausible, therefore, that the sword fern die-off at Seward Park, which we now are starting to see elsewhere, may be an early sign of a larger Pacific Northwest regional phenomenon.

Tim and the ad hoc research group - our unfunded band of enthusiasts - have now established, by careful field observation and measurement, that the die-off is spreading rapidly throughout Seward's Magnificent Forest. We have documented its appearance in a few thus far isolated sites elsewhere in the region.

It is time now to develop and implement a research program to identify the causes of the die-off. The results of this research will shape our search for remedies, and guide replanting and restoration strategies. The results of the research may offer broad, timely benefits to the region as a whole. Action is imperative: our centuries old understory is dying as we watch. 

Environmental Reporter Alison Morrow of KING5 TV interviews Tim Billo and me at Ground Zero

video aired June 16th 2017

Monday, May 1, 2017

The (Highly Speculative, as yet unsubstantiated) Nitrogen Deficiency Hypothesis, Yet Again

The sword fern die-off at Seward Park comes with a complicating factor:  in three years since our first observations, there have been no new colonization of the ground by native or invasive species.

The only exception to this is the large number of big-leaf maple seedlings which appear briefly each spring, and which are all dead within a matter of weeks.   This year, due to unprecedented amounts of spring time rain, these seedlings are still doing well.  I will report on their survival at ground zero over the summer months.

In addition to the ad hoc nitrogen sampling reported earlier on this blog, and the tree canopy Lobaria oregana nitrogen sources reported by Bill Dennison from the Andrews Experimental Forest, there has been related research by the Reimchen lab at the University of Victoria,  suggesting - in some circumstances - that salmon can be a nitrogen source.




Sunday, April 23, 2017

Die-off at Seattle Park Cheasty Mountain View

Tim, Al and I followed up on Al's initial report of sword fern die-off at Cheasty Mt.View, a few dozen yards west of the intersection of Columbian Way and Mountain View Drive.

The area is second growth forest, mostly big leaf maple, with a mixed sword fern, Indian Plum, salal and invasive understory.

We did an informal survey of a mixed flat and steeply sloping area, about 135 feet east-west by 100 feet north-south.  We placed 110 orange marker flags at each unambiguously dead fern; closely clumped dead crowns were treated as a single fern.  We excluded any fern showing any trace of green. This yields a concentration of  ~120 sq.ft per fern - which is consistent with a second growth, mixed understory rich in ferns.  The understory of this site is decidedly not dominated by ferns in the manner that the Seward, Suquamish and Upper Luther Burbank sites are.

Tim, Al and I then each separately estimated the ratio of dead/live ferns across the  135 x 100 foot region.  This was exceedingly informal.  Our average estimate was about 50%.  We did not distinguish a third group:  affected ferns still showing some green.  That group was lumped in with the healthy ferns.

This site does not meet the six criteria - which were inferred from die-off sites in which the sword ferns been the dominant - indeed, nearly exclusive - understory plant.

We left ten short orange marker flags in ferns with medium-to-good health.  One of Tim's natural history students will do repeat photography of these ten ferns over the next two months.