Friday, April 7, 2017

Field Criteria for Identifying a Die-Off Site

We have, as yet, no molecular or organismic markers for sword fern die-off.
Instead, I propose these six easily applied macroscopic site criteria.  These were derived inductively from Seward Park's original ground zero site.  They are strict, intentionally hard to meet, a heuristic useful until molecular markers are found.
  1. at least 400 square feet in area
  2. approximately symmetrical in shape (a circle or a square)
  3.  understory previously dominated  by sword ferns (few or no Oregon grape, salal or shrubs)
  4. has 25-40 dead crowns approximately evenly distributed across the 400 sq ft area
  5. very few (<5) or no surviving ferns.
  6. the affected area grows larger with each passing year

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