This suggests a few different possibilities:
- The putative pathogen which we think causes the die-off is not always fatal: it can also cause a die-back from which ferns can recover. We may see this phenomenon at Ground Zero in Seward Park, where two ferns (out of ~100), which I previously judged to be dead, are now recovering.
- Some other phenomenon lies behind last year's apparently dead ferns at Ford Worden.
Whatever the explanation - and ongoing observation may clarify - this recovery is very good news.
This recovery at least partially fits the pattern reported by the Pitterman Lab describing sword fern die-back due to drought in the redwood forests of California. See the blog post here. In brief: fern response to drought includes stomatal closure followed by xylem embolisms followed by die back. The ferns return in successive years, but continued cycles of drought + embolism lead to die-off.
Note that the California drought was more severe and lasted longer than what we have seen in the Pacific Northwest. See precipitation records and California comparion here.